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China AI race: a powerful challenge to US tech dominance

China AI race has become one of the most important technology battles in the world today. The US still leads in the most advanced large language models and the best chips, especially those made by Nvidia. But many experts now say the race is more like a long marathon, not a short sprint, and in this longer game China could have the edge.    China vs America AI Race — The Hidden Game-Changer in 2025 | by Ask With Ai | Let's Code Future | Medium

In this new phase of the China AI race, the focus is not only on who has the largest or most powerful model. Instead, the real power may come from who can build smart, efficient systems that work well with fewer chips and less money.


Why some experts think China can win the China AI race

Several things are pushing China forward in the China AI race.

  • Chinese companies are learning how to build smaller but highly efficient models that need fewer advanced chips.

  • Local firms are improving their own chips and building big clusters of hardware to match Western performance.

  • The government is giving strong support through national plans, cheap energy, and help for data centres.

Economists note that research from big labs shows smaller models trained on better data can sometimes beat larger models. This fits China’s current situation: it may not get the best foreign chips, but it can still compete by focusing on efficiency and smart design.


Chips, power and the China AI race

Chips are at the centre of the China AI race because they decide how fast and cheaply models can be trained and used. US export controls limit China’s access to Nvidia’s top chips, but China is responding in its own way.

  • Companies like Huawei are building large clusters of domestic chips to reach high performance levels.

  • China is investing heavily in cheap electricity from solar, wind, and nuclear power to run energy‑hungry data centres.

  • Local governments are even giving subsidies and vouchers to cut the cost of computing for AI companies.

Because of this, some analysts say that even if Chinese chips are less efficient, cheap power and big clusters can still keep China competitive in the China AI race.


How state strategy shapes the China AI race

Government policy plays a big role in the China AI race. Beijing can coordinate huge investments in computing power, data centres, and fibre networks much faster than most countries.

Key parts of China’s strategy include:

  • National computing networks that link many data centres

  • Support for domestic chip makers and rules that favour local chips in state‑funded projects

  • Long‑term financial backing for AI companies and research labs

  • Efforts to treat data as an economic resource that can be shared and used at scaleThe Global AI Rules Race: China's Strategic Response to US Tech Dominance | Geopolitical Monitor

Supporters argue that this centralised approach is a strength in the China AI race, because it lets the country move quickly and push resources into its priority sectors. Critics worry it could also lead to waste, over‑building, or tight control over how technology is used.


Where the US still leads in the China AI race

Even though China is moving fast, the US still has clear advantages in the China AI race.

  • American companies lead in the very top‑tier models and cutting‑edge research.

  • The US has a strong ecosystem of start‑ups, universities, and cloud providers.

  • It still controls many parts of the chip supply chain through allies like Taiwan and South Korea.

US policy is now focused on protecting this lead with export controls, more investment in chips at home, and stronger partnerships with other countries. Many American leaders say that staying ahead in the China AI race is critical for both economic strength and national security.


What the China AI race means for the rest of the world

The China AI race will shape how people around the world use technology in daily life.

  • If China keeps pushing low‑cost, efficient systems, more countries may adopt Chinese tools for schools, offices, and governments.

  • If the US keeps its edge in frontier research, Western systems may stay the first choice for top‑end innovation and science.

  • Other countries could face pressure to pick sides, or they may try to balance both ecosystems.

For users and small businesses, the China AI race could bring cheaper tools, more choice, and faster progress. At the same time, it raises questions about privacy, control of data, and which values will guide powerful technologies.

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